Research
Working Papers & Research
Applied empirical research using modern causal inference methods to study growth threats.
Primary methods
Difference-in-differences with staggered adoption (csdid), synthetic control (synth), panel fixed effects, RDD. All replication code released open-source on publication.
Published & Working Papers
Working Paper presource curse 2017
James Cust, David Mihalyi
diff in diffevent study
We provide evidence that countries with recent oil discoveries exhibit systematic patterns of elevated growth expectations followed by growth disappointments — before a single barrel of oil is exported.
In progress
Synthetic Growth Paths for Resource Discoverers
Synthetic control In progress
The Presource Curse in Action: Fiscal and Governance Indicators Between Discovery and Production
DiD / event study (csdid) Planned
Sovereign Wealth Funds and the Presource Curse
Panel FE / event study