Data Visualizations
Interactive Data Tools
Public-facing tools to explore growth trajectories, counterfactual paths, and threat timelines.
Anatomy of a Lost Decade
Compare actual GDP per capita against counterfactual benchmarks: pre-discovery trend, IMF WEO vintage forecasts, and a synthetic control estimate. Hover for values; toggle series.
Anatomy of a Lost Decade
GDP per capita trajectories for resource-discovering countries — actual outcomes vs. what could have been. Index: pre-discovery year = 100.
Note: Placeholder estimates only. Final figure will use Penn World Table 10.x data, IMF WEO vintage forecasts, and Stata-estimated synthetic controls. The amber shaded region indicates the estimated growth cost between actual and counterfactual paths.
Data note: Currently placeholder estimates. Final version will use Penn World Table 10.x data, IMF WEO vintage forecasts, and Stata-estimated synthetic controls. All data and replication code will be open-sourced.
In the Pipeline
Counterfactual Growth Explorer
User-selected country and scenario — modelled growth paths.
Presource Curse Timeline
Discovery to production — fiscal and governance indicators.
Growth Threat Dashboard
Country-level risk indicators, updated annually.
Debt & Borrowing Tracker
Public debt trajectories with risk thresholds.